Re: Climate change impact on India & the world Quote:
Originally Posted by deathwalkr Coupled with heavy rains and floods at the end of July when the monsoon is supposed to have been over here it is just scary. |
Let's not be in a hurry to pass the blame onto 'climate change' and absolve the local administration.
This year due to the La Nina phenomenon IMD had predicted a heavy to very heavy monsoon back in April itself. La Nina is a known periodic climate pattern and not because of climate change.
This editorial in The Hindu from April 2024 proves prescient: Quote:
Rain shocks: On the monsoon in 2024
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The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast a bountiful monsoon. Rainfall from June-September is expected to be 6% more than the 87 cm, .....There is however a dark cloud to this silver lining. The IMD’s climate models suggest a 30% chance of “excess” rains — defined as more than 10% of what is usual.
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The IMD’s models forecast for this are premised on the development of a La Niña,...
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Here is the kicker (emphasis mine): Quote:
Two arid monsoon months and torrential rains in the last two may be fine for agriculture but is likely to result in extreme floods and — as has been observed in the past — immense damage to lives, livelihoods and infrastructure.
The 2018 floods in Kerala continue to be a reminder of how vulnerable India is to natural disasters. While an update to the forecast is expected around the end of May, the IMD’s current signal must be urgently heeded. States must, at the soonest, draw up emergency plans from their disaster-management modules to bolster infrastructure, prepare evacuation plans, conduct audits of the structural stability of dams and their distress-signalling network and ensure that broader early-warning networks are in place. |
Last edited by DigitalOne : 1st August 2024 at 17:34.
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