Quote:
Originally Posted by LonelyPlanet I need to park 6Cr in funds for my retirement in 2 years time and start SWP. need 1.5L/ month and looking for a 30 yr time horizon
What are the best alternatives to meet my daily needs and still account for the inflation for the time horizon.
Have no other debt / commitments |
Hi, first of all, Congratulations on being able to create and invest a lumpsum corpus.
I have done something similar for myself a year back and so in a position to share my experience and some pointers. (Let me clarify I am neither a financial expert nor affiliated with any AMC/Financial service provider so sharing this in good faith for everyone's benefit on this forum)
In general , Equities do provide best returns over long periods of time. However the price of those returns is to be able to live with Uncertainty and Volatility(Do read
"Psychology of Money" by Morgan Housel and also study/understand MF metrics like Alpha, Beta, Sharpe, Sortino , Capture Ratio etc.).
At the same time, it's
important to have an asset allocation strategy in place. Hence a couple of questions -
1. Does this corpus include PF component ? put another way, is this all of your corpus or do you have PF , real estate etc.?
2. What is your attitude towards investing - returns & risk. Are you someone looking at
a) Highest returns possible with, say a, 30% downside to your corpus during a market correction (in 2018, large caps corrected 5-10%, Mid Caps corrected 30%. In 2007, Small caps corrected 65% and took 10 years, around 2017 to come to baseline. Many Small Caps in fact didn't even survive as Small & Micro Caps see the max churn on the index. Of course for someone entering in 2007, they saw a 3x gain!)
b) Reasonable risk adjusted returns
c) Minimal volatility in your portfolio.
Options to consider for each of the Options
Investment style A -
high returns & risks - Multi Cap funds (At least 25% each in Large, Mid, Small Caps), Mid & Small Cap funds , Momentum investing, Sectoral/Thematic funds (provided you get the sector and cycle and hence your timing right).
Investment style B -
Reasonable risk adjusted returns - Large Equity diversified mutual funds ( Flexi Caps) with a proven risk adjusted return record & hybrid funds (with >65% in Equity & Equity like securities and hence Equity type taxation - Aggressive Hybrids, Equity Savings, Balanced Adv/Multi Asset funds with Equity taxation) for tax efficient asset planning ( the allocation between equity, debt , arbitrage, commodities etc, is done by the fund manager and hence you don't need to constantly track & churn your portfolio and incur STCG/LTCG)
Investment Style C -
Minimal moderate risk- Style B with greater salience for Debt focused Hybrid funds ( Conservative hybrids)
Your expectation of a 6% drawdown (1.5 lacs X 12 months = 18 lacs /3 Crores) is reasonable as Equity MFs give 12-18% CAGR over long periods of time. However, since I don't know you, your total investments and more importantly your psychology towards Money, Investing , returns and risks , I won't offer advice to you. Instead let me share how I approached this -
Let's take each of the investing elements one by one -
1.
Direct vs Regular plans - you save 0.5-1.5% on commissions which do add up to a lot on 6Cr over 30 years. With Apps like Groww etc, you can make the investments yourself. I went with Groww and direct plans.
2.
Active vs Passive Index funds - the easy part of bull run in Indian stock markets for this phase (2020/21 till date) is over . During this time , there was a general tail wind and hence Index based funds (passive) did similar or even better than most Actively managed funds. However we are now in that phase of the bull run , where directionally we should see growth over next 3-5 years but it will need active stock picking and navigating through volatility/ corrections etc. Also, Passive funds invest all their cash as they receive while Actively managed funds take cash calls (eg. Parag Parikh Flexi Cap is sitting on around 15% cash to invest in case of correction). Hence I went with actively managed funds.
3.
Diversification & professional fund management - If the idea of investing in Mutual funds is to leave the stock picking and portfolio construction to the fund manager, why take sectoral/theme/cap based calls yourself - Hence I w excluded Large/Mid/Small/Sectoral/Thematic/Multi Cap funds. Flexi Caps are a good way to invest as the fund manager can buy any stock across Caps and sectors.
4. I have a
PF corpus which is my pure debt component and will earn ~8%/whatever the Govt decides till i turn 58.
5. I don't intent to retain additional pure debt as
Pure debt instruments (6-8%) post taxation either don't beat or barely exceed inflation. As a short term/closer to a goal investment, yes. Not for the long term.
6. There are
3 objectives of investing - 1. Returns through compounding (PE, Alpha) 2. Volatility protection (AUM in Rs Cr, SD, Beta, Sharpe, Sortino, Capture ratio etc.) 3. Liquidity management
7.
Portfolio concentration/overlap risk - <25% exposure to any AMC/MF and also checking for portfolio overlaps across MFs . Also benefit from Investment thinking of different AMCs (most funds from same AMC will have same stock choices - eg. check equity component overlap across ICICI - Bluechip, Equity & Debt, Balanced Adv, Multi Asset etc.)
8.
# of MFs - in general, they say
4-8 is a good number, as long as they pass the above test.
9.
Geographical diversification - Given US and India have the best dollar returns in last decade and India is projected to grow fastest ( Size X Growth), one can decide 90-100% India or and 0-10% in US equities.
With this , let me share my MF portfolio with you -
1. Portfolio Construct - Equity MFs (40%), Hybrid MFs (60%) 2. For long term returns through equity compounding #1-Parag Parikh Flexi Cap - 25% (5 star by Value Research, 1st in Flexi Cap category by ET Money, highest risk adjusted returns over 5 years/lifetime, best Capture ratio 1.7 odd across MFs. It's downside capture is 47 meaning, if market (Nifty 500) falls 100, this fund falls 47. Uses Value Investing approach)
#2- SBI Contra -15% ( Contra investing approach)
3. For volatility protection and tax efficient asset allocation-
ICICI Equity & Debt Aggressive Hybrid fund (automatically reallocates between Equity & Debt 75/25) - 25% (You could also consider ICICI Multi Asset fund . Equity & Debt choices are the same. In addition, it has commodities - Gold, Silver - and REIT)
#3- HDFC Balanced Advantage Fund - 15% #4 - Kotak Debt Hybrid -20% (Conservative Hybrid fund - 75% in debt and rest in Equity/Arbitrage etc.)
4. Liquidity management
Keep
12-18 months expenditure in an Equity Arbitrage fund. That way you don't need to draw down from your core corpus when markets are down. (I have crossed that time duration in my holding and hence have monies in Cons hybrid > 1 year for that purpose)
5-15 Lacs in Bank FD for quick/emergency withdrawal (MF redemption usually takes 2 days but sometimes can take 5-6 days if there are holidays/weekends in between. FD withdrawal is within 30 min.)
In my case, above MF allocation + PF corpus gives me following asset allocation - 57% Equity, 36% Debt and 7% Cash/others. You can decide your asset allocation strategy and work out the MF allocations accordingly.
Hope this helps. Happy to discuss live , please PM me if required.
In the end , to quote Naval Ravikant - Wealth, Health & Time allow us freedom to be , choose the life we wish - what we wish to do/not do, the people we wish to be around or not, the things we wish to do (or not) and how we spend our time in general.
Ultimately, listen to everyone but follow a strategy/plan that feels good to you and allows you good sleep at night so that you don't have to worry about your investments.
Wish you the best !