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Originally Posted by kaizanfan You're spot on Jeroen in interpreting my message. If an investigator were to look at a scenario where a car is traveling at 200km/hr and catches fire, that would be different than a car going thru a town street at 35km/hr.
As you put it, the contributing factors would differ. Thanks. |
They way I read your post as if high speeds are more likely to cause fires then at low speeds. If you believe that, please enlighten us as to how that would be so.
I haven't made up my mind yet, to many variables
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Originally Posted by gemi_kk Adding so many electronics would increase the probability of such one off incidents. |
There is no correlation between installing electronics in a car and subsequently cars catching fire that I'm aware off. I certainly would find it hard to correlate the two for some very simple and obvious reasons. Electronics, such as ECU, BPM etc tend to mounted inside the cabin, underneath the dashboard, under the seat, in the trunk. They always come as "sealed" units.
If they are installed in the engine bay they are typically well protected. Electronics typically have very low power ratings, i.e. they draw low currents. Its extremely unlikely that the surface temperature of an ECU reaches anywhere near a temperature at which something would start burning. Due to its low currents, its very unlikely that you will get big sparks from electronics. So the changes of electronics setting of a fire due to high temperature or fierce sparking is remote at best.
In most cases, car fires are due to fuel, be it petrol and or diesel, leaking onto something very hot. Or an electrical fault and some nearby flammable or combustable parts. There are a few other things like brakes that can get very hot, but as long as there is nothing flammable or combustible in the immediate vicinity you'll have a lot of smoke but no fire.
I do believe we need to wait for the facts, but judging by the pictures I would say this is a classic example of an engine fire. Most likely cause by leaking of petrol or diesel on the hot exhaust or maybe turbo. These days nearly all fuel system are pressurized, so when they develop a leak, the fuel spurts away, partly vaporized depending on the inline pressure. When it hits something hot, it could ignite and you end up with your Mercedes looking like this.
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Originally Posted by gemi_kk In earlier cars, say there are 10 electronic components. Probability of failure of each electronic component is say 0.1. So, the cars overall probability of failure/catching fire is 1%. In modern cars, with thousands of electronics being added every year, its actually surprising to see the failure rate is not going up drastically when compared to electronics additions. Which clearly shows they have tested it properly. |
If your calculation would be correct, on a system with 1000 electronic components we would have a 100% chance of a fire. So, tell how come we don't see a continuous stream of cars, planes, TV's going up in smoke? Because your calculation is wrong.
Testing does not increase or decrease the statistical chance of anything going wonky. You can test to your hearts content, but until you find the root cause of a problem and change the design or process, everything remains the same.
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Originally Posted by gemi_kk The product catching fire is something wrong. I hope they really find it and fix it, prior the governments start acting. And they must give the owners a new car with apologies. |
I suggest we wait for the facts first. Or we could go the American way and sue Mercedes right away.
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Originally Posted by joybhowmik Do you know the couple in question?
Let's wait for more light on the cause of the fire.
Or perhaps you know who they are- so you can tell us more.  |
I agree, lets not jump to conclusions, unless there are more facts to add to what is known currently.
Jeroen