Quote:
Originally Posted by ferrarirules
Finally, they should look at competitively pricing their cars in non-niche segments. Toyota Hyryder Strong Hybrid top model ex showroom Rs 20.19 lakh vs Hyundai Creta Diesel top model ex showroom Rs 20.15 lakh. Creta comes with a full suit ADAS, much better interior and larger boot.
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This is the crux of the problem with hybrids in India. The pricing is insane and not tuned for 'India scale' high volume possibilities. Partly tax, but also because Toyota's hybrid system is complex and expensive. They have tried making a cheaper hybrid system and failed. The premium over similarly taxed ICE vehicles is just too much.
Better diesel models are often at the same price or cheaper, like the Creta diesel top model you pointed out.
Not just that, even decent spec EVs are now in the ballpark. MG ZS EV now starts at 20.13L on-road Mumbai. It's actually under 20L if you take insurance from outside. Very comparable in size, faster performance, even cheaper than the hybrids to run. Here's a link to
quick comparison (on carwale) between ZSEV, Hyryder and Grand Vitara models around 20-21Lacs.
GST reduction on hybrids may help, but
if govt has to be believe Toyota's promise of hybrids as an aid to transition to EVs, then the hybrid specs for GST law can be designed to promote such a transition. For GST benefit, hybrids can be specified to be:
1. PHEV: Plug-in hybrids only. Get people used to charging overnight, expand the number of home chargers. 3KW AC chargers are fine for smaller batteries in hybrid cars.
2. Min EV-mode range of 50km, so that common daily commute distance can be covered in EV mode for most people. The range extending petrol or CNG engine helps remove range anxiety for longer distance trips. People get used to the low cost of EV per km. Maruti's proposed series hybrids will be better for this that Toyota's complex and expensive hybrid system, if Maruti sizes the batteries well and provides plug-in charging.
3. Notify a timetable for gradually raising min EV-mode range to qualify for GST benefits. Gradually increase to 75km, 100km, and then 150km by 2030. The hybrids will slowly give way to EVs, which is the story Toyota is officially selling anyway.
4. Since hybrids still use fuel, we can also retain a small tax advantage for EVs. PHEVs can be 12 or 18% GST while EVs are 5%. 12 or 18% is still a massive reduction from 43%
For typical commuting duties, hybrids will become irrelevant faster than this 2030 timeline in India. In about 2 years with the new EV policy, there will be several choices of affordable EVs in India. The Chinese have the best EV tech and they are desperate to find a way to access the Indian market, via JVs like MG-JSW or via Indian free trade agreements with third nations. BYD's Thailand plant is starting production this year.
By the way, in both scenarios - Hybrid or EV growth in next 2-3 years - one area that could see a major impact is resale prices of ICE cars in the same segment and a segment above. The used car demand may start collapsing. Buying a car now in this transition period is likely to lose us far more money on depreciation that we expect based on today's resale values.